would ghotbi try to draw NKoreans out and implement counterattacking tactics ?
SHOULD he do that?
from what he's been saying all along that this game is not a do or die game ( and I strongly disagree ), and from his selections and the most probable line up it may seem he may be happy with a draw also!
yes, a draw , mathematically, may not be the end of the world for us, but it brings many hazards and scenarios where we can easily be eliminated . one of the most possibilities is a draw between NK and KSA and that's it for us!
coz I'm under no dis-illusions that we can beat SKorea at their home, and see a maximum of 1 point for us off that game.
I dont subscribe to this simplistic view that SKorea will not care about their last game even if they qualify beforehand.
I just read Mr. Mohasess saying:
نیمه اول دیدار کره شمالی - ایران مهم است
وی نیمه اول دیدار کره شمالی - ایران را با اهمیت خواند و افزود: اگر نیمه اول را با پیروزی پشت سربگذاریم که چه بهتر اما اگر این نیمه با نتیجه مساوی به پایان برسد شانس برای پیروزی ما بیشتر می شود زیرا کره شمالی که یک بازی بیشتر از ایران دارد و بازی آخرش را باید درعربستان برگزار کند می خواهد برای قطعی کردن صعود خود به جام جهانی در این دیدار پیروز شود و هر چه از زمان بازی سپری شود آنها بیش از گذشته تحت فشار روانی قرار می گیرند و همین موضوع به ما کمک می کند به پیروزی نزدیک*تر شویم و حداقل با پیروزی یک یا 2 بر صفر میزبان خود را شکست داده و از این مهلکه نجات یابیم.
( correction : NK has a game LESS than ours, not more )
going by ghotbi's advisor's remarks, a defensive plan may be on the cards, and relying on counters and mounting pressure on the opposition to make mistakes ... .
by itself, this is a fine and practical strategy for any team having our points and going away and ... etc etc etc.
BUT here's where our situation takes a step out of normalcy.
our team doesnt have a good goal scoring record and our strikers arent scoring goals as they shd. and the above strategy relies heavily on a team's strikers to have a HIGH CONVERSION RATE, who'd capitalize on those couple of chances they get.
our strikers do NOT have high or even average conversion rate!!! and have shown to need unusually high number of opportunities to score one goal!
so what if we implement the above strategy to the tee and defend perfectly ( something we have been unable to do and needs to be considered too ) under tremendous and mounting pressure and as is the norm, rely on & get 2-3 counterattacking opportunities for our strikers.
will OUR strikers ( dont mistake it w the general strikers of the world ... as ppl do here ) ... OUR STRIKERS WITH THEIR LOW CONVERSION RATE be able to score on those 2-3 chances ?
have we seen such a game where we've used such a strategy and have scored goals on 2-3 opportunities?
---------------
and will our defense hold up against that amount of pressure by playing a defensive game?
we've seen they cant and usually conceded a goal or two.
what if the koreans somehow get lucky and score?
then wouldnt our task be 10 times more difficult, to change tactics and players and positions and .... and still be stuck with LOW converting strikers?
remember ksa in azadi ?
========================
and finally, even in case of a draw, given the amount of travel and mounting pressure to collect points, would our players be able to WIN at SOUTH korea ?
something that we've never been able to do, even when we had a fit daei and azizi or better, more proficient squads in yesteryears.
what are the chances of this, when we're unable to beat the NORTH koreans ( our perennial losers ) at their home?
more than 5% ?
SHOULD he do that?
from what he's been saying all along that this game is not a do or die game ( and I strongly disagree ), and from his selections and the most probable line up it may seem he may be happy with a draw also!
yes, a draw , mathematically, may not be the end of the world for us, but it brings many hazards and scenarios where we can easily be eliminated . one of the most possibilities is a draw between NK and KSA and that's it for us!
coz I'm under no dis-illusions that we can beat SKorea at their home, and see a maximum of 1 point for us off that game.
I dont subscribe to this simplistic view that SKorea will not care about their last game even if they qualify beforehand.
I just read Mr. Mohasess saying:
نیمه اول دیدار کره شمالی - ایران مهم است
وی نیمه اول دیدار کره شمالی - ایران را با اهمیت خواند و افزود: اگر نیمه اول را با پیروزی پشت سربگذاریم که چه بهتر اما اگر این نیمه با نتیجه مساوی به پایان برسد شانس برای پیروزی ما بیشتر می شود زیرا کره شمالی که یک بازی بیشتر از ایران دارد و بازی آخرش را باید درعربستان برگزار کند می خواهد برای قطعی کردن صعود خود به جام جهانی در این دیدار پیروز شود و هر چه از زمان بازی سپری شود آنها بیش از گذشته تحت فشار روانی قرار می گیرند و همین موضوع به ما کمک می کند به پیروزی نزدیک*تر شویم و حداقل با پیروزی یک یا 2 بر صفر میزبان خود را شکست داده و از این مهلکه نجات یابیم.
( correction : NK has a game LESS than ours, not more )
going by ghotbi's advisor's remarks, a defensive plan may be on the cards, and relying on counters and mounting pressure on the opposition to make mistakes ... .
by itself, this is a fine and practical strategy for any team having our points and going away and ... etc etc etc.
BUT here's where our situation takes a step out of normalcy.
our team doesnt have a good goal scoring record and our strikers arent scoring goals as they shd. and the above strategy relies heavily on a team's strikers to have a HIGH CONVERSION RATE, who'd capitalize on those couple of chances they get.
our strikers do NOT have high or even average conversion rate!!! and have shown to need unusually high number of opportunities to score one goal!
so what if we implement the above strategy to the tee and defend perfectly ( something we have been unable to do and needs to be considered too ) under tremendous and mounting pressure and as is the norm, rely on & get 2-3 counterattacking opportunities for our strikers.
will OUR strikers ( dont mistake it w the general strikers of the world ... as ppl do here ) ... OUR STRIKERS WITH THEIR LOW CONVERSION RATE be able to score on those 2-3 chances ?
have we seen such a game where we've used such a strategy and have scored goals on 2-3 opportunities?
---------------
and will our defense hold up against that amount of pressure by playing a defensive game?
we've seen they cant and usually conceded a goal or two.
what if the koreans somehow get lucky and score?
then wouldnt our task be 10 times more difficult, to change tactics and players and positions and .... and still be stuck with LOW converting strikers?
remember ksa in azadi ?
========================
and finally, even in case of a draw, given the amount of travel and mounting pressure to collect points, would our players be able to WIN at SOUTH korea ?
something that we've never been able to do, even when we had a fit daei and azizi or better, more proficient squads in yesteryears.
what are the chances of this, when we're unable to beat the NORTH koreans ( our perennial losers ) at their home?
more than 5% ?
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