Iran's most probable path to advance

[Mansoor]

Of course, we can always hope for Iran to defeat Spain or Portugal and advance to next round.

But the most probable case would be for Iran to get one point from either Spain or Portugal.

Interesting Fact:
Iran can advance with one more point if Morocco ties the same team Iran ties!

Current standings:
Iran 3
Spain 1
Portugal 1
Morroco 0

Case 1:
Iran ties Portugal loses to Spain, Morocco ties Portugal

Iran 4
Spain 4 + Morocco match
Portugal 3
Morocco 1 + Spain match

Iran & Spain advance regardless of Spain Morocco match (head to head rule advantage for Iran vs. Morocco)


Case 2:
Iran ties Spain loses to Portugal, Morocco ties Spain

Iran 4
Portugal 4 + Morocco match
Spain 3
Morocco 1 + Portugal match

Iran & Portugal advance regardless of Portugal Morocco match

Case 1 is the most probable path, meaning it has a higher probability than any other possibilities.

Let's hope for Morocco to tie Portugal tomorrow. This result puts Iran in driver's seat against Portugal regardless of Iran-Spain match. It will also help us watch Iran-Spain match with less worries

[Sam van Dam]

we go into potugal match with 3 or 4 points, the refs and ronaldo will win the match. its a given and more beneficial from a financial standpoint to have spain and the golden boy advance. this whole world cup has been surrounded by questions like is this ronaldos time? portugal is not a world cup champion caliber team, but with the help of fifa it can happen. we need 3 points vs spain

[EKBATAN]

Mizanim Spain ro 2-1

[EKBATAN]

we go into potugal match with 3 or 4 points, the refs and ronaldo will win the match. its a given and more beneficial from a financial standpoint to have spain and the golden boy advance. this whole world cup has been surrounded by questions like is this ronaldos time? portugal is not a world cup champion caliber team, but with the help of fifa it can happen. we need 3 points vs spain

Like always lol
This is why we need some sort of result against Spain. And by 3rd game we'll be more tired.

[Damavand]

A tie or a win by Morocco against Portugal would be a dream come through. If that happens we are 70% through.

[ace_of_spades]

Guys
First tie breaker is goal difference.
The 3-3 draw between Spain and Portugal really hurt us.

[Roozbeh-G2006]

Of course, we can always hope for Iran to defeat Spain or Portugal and advance to next round.

But the most probable case would be for Iran to get one point from either Spain or Portugal.

Interesting Fact:
Iran can advance with one more point if Morocco ties the same team Iran ties!

Current standings:
Iran 3
Spain 1
Portugal 1
Morroco 0

Case 1:
Iran ties Portugal loses to Spain, Morocco ties Portugal

Iran 4
Spain 4 + Morocco match
Portugal 3
Morocco 1 + Spain match

Iran & Spain advance regardless of Spain Morocco match (head to head rule advantage for Iran vs. Morocco)


Case 2:
Iran ties Spain loses to Portugal, Morocco ties Spain

Iran 4
Portugal 4 + Morocco match
Spain 3
Morocco 1 + Portugal match

Iran & Portugal advance regardless of Portugal Morocco match

Case 1 is the most probable path, meaning it has a higher probability than any other possibilities.

Let's hope for Morocco to tie Portugal tomorrow. This result puts Iran in driver's seat against Portugal regardless of Iran-Spain match. It will also help us watch Iran-Spain match with less worries

I hope CQ and our boys don't contemplate these scenarios... They need to concentrate on their next two games to win regardless of odds. Sorry but this is losers' mentality.

[Amin_]

Yeah the first tie breaker, after number of obtained points, is goal difference. So even if Morocco would draw Portugal today and we'd tie them on matchday 3 (and lose to Spain), then THEORETICALLY Morocco could still advance if they'd beat Spain and then it would all come down to GD and only after that head-to-head results.

[Adesor Vafaseya]

The best scenario is Morocco ties portugal, and Ronaldo gets a red card i.e banned for Iran game.
Portugal without Ronaldo is 30-40% less efficient than otherwise!

So, Moroccans! Play dirty

[TAKHTI]

The criteria for tiebreakers is
1. goal difference in all group matches;
2. number of goals scored in all group matches;
3. result between teams concerned

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_F...up#Group_stage)

Given the number of goals Spain and Portugal have scored, this would make things very difficult for Iran if it came to a tiebreak situation.

[TAKHTI]

To be honest the most probable path for Iran is still not to advance. They just need to play in a way that they can be proud of themselves after (like the Argentina match 4 years ago), because no one can seriously expect them to get any result against Portugal or Spain!

[Sam van Dam]

no one expected costa rica to do it in 2014! nobody expect spain to not advance in 2014. then there is italy, the defending champs in 2010 tying fucking new zealand and losing to slovakia

lol lets just enjoy todays game and hope for the best

anything can happen

lets not leave our fate in the hands of the refs and penaldo

we control our destiny TODAY. its now or never

[Kiarash]

Iran's most probable path to advance

I believe we have a better chance at getting a result today against Spain than Portugal.

Ronaldo has the referee falling for his fouls, our team will be most likely gassed out and Portugal’s counter attacks are deadly. So if we go into the 3rd game with needing a win, I expect a carbon copy of the Bosnia match.

[teammelli91]

we go into potugal match with 3 or 4 points, the refs and ronaldo will win the match. its a given and more beneficial from a financial standpoint to have spain and the golden boy advance. this whole world cup has been surrounded by questions like is this ronaldos time? portugal is not a world cup champion caliber team, but with the help of fifa it can happen. we need 3 points vs spain

You're scaring me dude.

[val]

Iran's most probable path to advance

Most probable path,
we will beat both spain and portugal and then every other team after that until we bring home the cup