Originally posted by Futbaldoost
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Originally posted by Farzadfarhangni View PostDon't we need to be in the top 15 qualified teams (not 16) given that Qatar gets a seed 1 spot for being the host?
Go TM!
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Originally posted by Futbaldoost View PostYou are right. Top 15 in FIFA ranking. I guess we also need Wales not to make it and we have to win the remaining matches. Very small chance that all the pieces of the puzzle will fall in their place. Mathematically, there is still a chance. We will know for sure by the end of March.
Go TM!#BanNoorafkan
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Originally posted by Preezy View PostWrong. Italy (6) and/or Portugal (8) canβt qualify. Top 16 in FIFA ranking gives Iran pot 2.
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In short details: these teams below must not make it.
If one of them make it then Either USA/Mexico must not make it. Looking at how things are going Mexico has 90%+ chance of making it.
And if those 2 teams make + 1 team from the image (e.g. uruguay), then both italy and portugal must not make it.
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All that to one side : WE MUST WIN SOUTH KOREA GAME
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Originally posted by milad_b View PostIn short details: these teams below must not make it.
If one of them make it then Either USA/Mexico must not make it. Looking at how things are going Mexico has 90%+ chance of making it.
And if those 2 teams make + 1 team from the image (e.g. uruguay), then both italy and portugal must not make it.
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All that to one side : WE MUST WIN SOUTH KOREA GAME
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Originally posted by Abtin View PostThanks for the clarification, you obv. put time into the calculations ππΌ sounds pretty impossible, but one can be hopeful π€.
I don't think senegal can beat egypt in full time.
I also don't think uruguay will make it .
That leaves Mexico/USA - Wales+Sweden . 2 out of 4 (wales+ sweden) won't make it.
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Originally posted by milad_b View PostNo problem bro. I honestly think if we beat South Korea we would have a good chance making it.
I don't think senegal can beat egypt in full time.
I also don't think uruguay will make it .
That leaves Mexico/USA - Wales+Sweden . 2 out of 4 (wales+ sweden) won't make it.
We are currently 21st. From this 21 team, only top 15 qualified teams will get a place in pot 1 and 2, as one of the pot 1 spots are taken for Qatar. So we need six of the top 21 to not qualify. Senegal, Uruguay, and 2 out of 4 of wales/sweden/Mexico/USA is four team. We also know that one of Portugal/Italy won't make it. So that is 5 team. We'll be 16th highest ranked team to qualify but only top 15 qualified teams will be in seed 1 and 2.
One way for Iran to make it to pot 2 is for both Italy and Portugal to not qualify in addition to the 4 teams you mentioned. I believe Portugal will play Turkey and Italy will play North Macedonia. The winner of these matched will play each other for a spot in the world cup. So it is possible for either North Macedonia or Turkey to eliminate both Portugal and Italy and then we'll be 15th.
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I wouldn't mind staying in pot 3 tbh. Pot 3 will have some very good teams in it. Pot 2 is mostly about Germany, Denmark, Netherlands and Switzerland. I'd be ok to stay in pot 3 and pray that the luck of the draw doesn't give us one of them which is almost 50% chance.
As long as we don't get some sort of group of death we'll be fine this time and make it to the knockouts.
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As I said last week, we have a 1.49% chance of pot 2 on ranking based on ELO simulations. The teams ahead of us are all evident on this link
http://www.football-rankings.info/20...lations-5.html
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