Salam Doostan,
It has been a long time since I post here, though from time to time, I visit the site to enjoy reading your perspectives.
Before anything, I want to clarify that this is a technical discussion from a coaching point of view. Please direct your emotions to other threads to keep this discussion technical & educational.
Perhaps the main difference between the Skocic era & Carlos era is Dragan's persistence in position play. Carlos would give the ball to the opponent, take the space away, and keep an eye on counters against stronger teams. Dragan wants to play from the back and maintain the position. It worked against weaker teams, but it is exposed against more potent and faster opponents with the ability to play high pressure. But how does playing from the back work? Let's begin with fundamentals.
Playing from the back
In playing from the back, one of the most popular formations is 2-3-2-3 or 2-3-2-2-1:
-------- 9 -----------
--- 7 ----------11----
-------8----10-------
2--------6-----------3
----4-----------5-----
---------GK-----------
In this formation, we would need an agile 6, 8, and 10 with excellent techniques to control the ball, agility to dynamically adjust position, and the ability to make decisions to hold, short pass, or long pass the ball (air or ground). 8 or 10 must interchange their role when 6 shifts.
For example, if 6 goes toward 3, 8 must drop next to him between 2 & 6, and 10 must adjust for an inverted triangle, making himself available through passing lanes for 6, 8, or 3. The same goes for 8; if 6 shifts to 2 and 10 drops between 6 and 3.
7 & 11 must be ready for through passes and dynamically make themselves available again. 9 should not drop back to create depth and reduce pressure.
4 & 5 must be aware of the whole field and drop back to create space (backward depth) if the pressure is too high, and 2 & 3 must insist on stretching the field and creating width with movements near the line.
The goalkeeper's role is critical to the pressure as he must be a reliable source to pass back for control or fly the ball toward 7, 9, and 11 when pressure is too much and too risky to hold the ball in his own third. When the pressure is too high, the opponent gives us depth, and we must expose and punish the opponent.
There is more to this, but I keep it simple to get to the point.
Dragan's choices for position play
We are running a thin line in our choices of 4 & 5. Only Kanani has shown the ability to recognize the pressure and see the space to either drive the ball and/or feed 7,9,11 to punish the opponent. Shoja comes second to him, with PourAli distant third. No other classic CB in Iran has shown international quality in playing from the back; therefore, Dragan's poor choice of Nourafkan. Although he has the technique to play from the back but a) he is a horrible defender internationally, b) he makes poor choices under pressure c) he is too emotional to stay calm under pressure. Nourafkan's IQ, psychosocial weaknesses, and poor individual defending are simply a BAD choice by Dragan, and we paid the price in the Algeria match. See below for pictures.
We do not have a qualified 6! Ezzatollahi is not agile and does not have the dynamic to play the position as a 6 nor the technique to keep the position under pressure. He is an excellent choice for Carlos's style of play because of his physique and individual defending but is badly exposed in position plays. Perhaps the main reason competitive clubs have rejected him. Poor Saeed, I think it is his gene, and his dynamic is beyond repair. I know the clubs he was in during his early days have great movement and fitness training, but I don't think they could fix him, or maybe he was too lazy to put up with such painful training to repair.
Nour is not an international defender for 6, although he is a borderline 8 for position play with his dynamic, hustle, and acceptable technique. One can argue his effectiveness as an 8, but he is NOT a 6.
Omid comes close to a suitable 6 with his dynamic, decision-making, and hustle, but his technique and age make him a risky player for the WC stage.
Saman can play 10, but he also suffers from agility and dynamic. Gholizadeh is not a 10 for position play with his poor positioning and decision-making (IQ), another costly mistake by Dragan against Algeria. At best, he can play 7 or 11.
We have no problem with 7, 9, and 11 on top as they are perfect for their role, but unfortunately, only Kanani can feed them to punish high pressure. I must say Aghasi showed promising signs with his decision-making but is too inexperienced for WC.
The entire back and midfield are also weak in two-touch passing for position plays. The ball needs to move faster to avoid the pressure, and our players don't train well from an early age for this kind of play. We don't have the movement, positioning, or technique for quick passing against the international quality high pressure.
In summary, we have no suitable 6, and only two candidates in 4 & 5. If they get injured, the entire campaign suffers. Without them, Dragan's style of play will lead to disaster against England, the US, and Wales. After watching Algeria friendly, they will come to high pressure, and we would lose the ball for embarrassing results.
Next, I will post some pictures from the Algeria match showing our players' poor positioning and the team's shape during position plays. Honestly, it is not Dragan; we have problems with our players in the back and especially midfield for his style of play. Something needs to change, and that is not necessarily Dragan himself.
It has been a long time since I post here, though from time to time, I visit the site to enjoy reading your perspectives.
Before anything, I want to clarify that this is a technical discussion from a coaching point of view. Please direct your emotions to other threads to keep this discussion technical & educational.
Perhaps the main difference between the Skocic era & Carlos era is Dragan's persistence in position play. Carlos would give the ball to the opponent, take the space away, and keep an eye on counters against stronger teams. Dragan wants to play from the back and maintain the position. It worked against weaker teams, but it is exposed against more potent and faster opponents with the ability to play high pressure. But how does playing from the back work? Let's begin with fundamentals.
Playing from the back
In playing from the back, one of the most popular formations is 2-3-2-3 or 2-3-2-2-1:
-------- 9 -----------
--- 7 ----------11----
-------8----10-------
2--------6-----------3
----4-----------5-----
---------GK-----------
In this formation, we would need an agile 6, 8, and 10 with excellent techniques to control the ball, agility to dynamically adjust position, and the ability to make decisions to hold, short pass, or long pass the ball (air or ground). 8 or 10 must interchange their role when 6 shifts.
For example, if 6 goes toward 3, 8 must drop next to him between 2 & 6, and 10 must adjust for an inverted triangle, making himself available through passing lanes for 6, 8, or 3. The same goes for 8; if 6 shifts to 2 and 10 drops between 6 and 3.
7 & 11 must be ready for through passes and dynamically make themselves available again. 9 should not drop back to create depth and reduce pressure.
4 & 5 must be aware of the whole field and drop back to create space (backward depth) if the pressure is too high, and 2 & 3 must insist on stretching the field and creating width with movements near the line.
The goalkeeper's role is critical to the pressure as he must be a reliable source to pass back for control or fly the ball toward 7, 9, and 11 when pressure is too much and too risky to hold the ball in his own third. When the pressure is too high, the opponent gives us depth, and we must expose and punish the opponent.
There is more to this, but I keep it simple to get to the point.
Dragan's choices for position play
We are running a thin line in our choices of 4 & 5. Only Kanani has shown the ability to recognize the pressure and see the space to either drive the ball and/or feed 7,9,11 to punish the opponent. Shoja comes second to him, with PourAli distant third. No other classic CB in Iran has shown international quality in playing from the back; therefore, Dragan's poor choice of Nourafkan. Although he has the technique to play from the back but a) he is a horrible defender internationally, b) he makes poor choices under pressure c) he is too emotional to stay calm under pressure. Nourafkan's IQ, psychosocial weaknesses, and poor individual defending are simply a BAD choice by Dragan, and we paid the price in the Algeria match. See below for pictures.
We do not have a qualified 6! Ezzatollahi is not agile and does not have the dynamic to play the position as a 6 nor the technique to keep the position under pressure. He is an excellent choice for Carlos's style of play because of his physique and individual defending but is badly exposed in position plays. Perhaps the main reason competitive clubs have rejected him. Poor Saeed, I think it is his gene, and his dynamic is beyond repair. I know the clubs he was in during his early days have great movement and fitness training, but I don't think they could fix him, or maybe he was too lazy to put up with such painful training to repair.
Nour is not an international defender for 6, although he is a borderline 8 for position play with his dynamic, hustle, and acceptable technique. One can argue his effectiveness as an 8, but he is NOT a 6.
Omid comes close to a suitable 6 with his dynamic, decision-making, and hustle, but his technique and age make him a risky player for the WC stage.
Saman can play 10, but he also suffers from agility and dynamic. Gholizadeh is not a 10 for position play with his poor positioning and decision-making (IQ), another costly mistake by Dragan against Algeria. At best, he can play 7 or 11.
We have no problem with 7, 9, and 11 on top as they are perfect for their role, but unfortunately, only Kanani can feed them to punish high pressure. I must say Aghasi showed promising signs with his decision-making but is too inexperienced for WC.
The entire back and midfield are also weak in two-touch passing for position plays. The ball needs to move faster to avoid the pressure, and our players don't train well from an early age for this kind of play. We don't have the movement, positioning, or technique for quick passing against the international quality high pressure.
In summary, we have no suitable 6, and only two candidates in 4 & 5. If they get injured, the entire campaign suffers. Without them, Dragan's style of play will lead to disaster against England, the US, and Wales. After watching Algeria friendly, they will come to high pressure, and we would lose the ball for embarrassing results.
Next, I will post some pictures from the Algeria match showing our players' poor positioning and the team's shape during position plays. Honestly, it is not Dragan; we have problems with our players in the back and especially midfield for his style of play. Something needs to change, and that is not necessarily Dragan himself.
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