I have already said this a couple of times back in 2005 and 2006 (right before the WC) so a new WC so I am gonna say it again.
It was passed a midnight 20 years ago when my friend Arash and I were watching the 1990 WC final between Argentina and Germany in my house in Tehran when I came up with this theory. 20 years later, am I finally going to be wrong? This is my theory:
There are a lot of favorites everytime such as Holland in 1990 and Columbia in 1994 and now Spain in 2010 but when its al said and done and the dust settles there are ONLY 4 teams that can win the WC outside of their home country. They are: Brazil, Italy, Germany and Argentina. Also There are 4 other teams that are capable of winning the WC too but ONLY if they are hosting the event. They are France, Spain and Holland and England
For some reason something happens that even if other teams are favorites they get upstaged by these teams in the WC. Maybe its history. Maybe its gheyrat and experience and legacy. I have no idea what it is but WCs 94, 98, 02 and 06 all prove my theory.
The best example is the 06. The french had that one in the bag but somehow they gave it away. In 02 the germans weren't even supposed to be in the last 8 but somehow they made it to the championship game. The same is true for the italians in 94
Another interesting fact: Between 1950 and 2006 every single WC final had either Germany or Brazil in it except for the one in 1978. Thats huge!
So becasue of this I say the spaniards WON'T win the WC. But of course I am a statistician and we are only right 95% of the time! So it remains to be seen
It was passed a midnight 20 years ago when my friend Arash and I were watching the 1990 WC final between Argentina and Germany in my house in Tehran when I came up with this theory. 20 years later, am I finally going to be wrong? This is my theory:
There are a lot of favorites everytime such as Holland in 1990 and Columbia in 1994 and now Spain in 2010 but when its al said and done and the dust settles there are ONLY 4 teams that can win the WC outside of their home country. They are: Brazil, Italy, Germany and Argentina. Also There are 4 other teams that are capable of winning the WC too but ONLY if they are hosting the event. They are France, Spain and Holland and England
For some reason something happens that even if other teams are favorites they get upstaged by these teams in the WC. Maybe its history. Maybe its gheyrat and experience and legacy. I have no idea what it is but WCs 94, 98, 02 and 06 all prove my theory.
The best example is the 06. The french had that one in the bag but somehow they gave it away. In 02 the germans weren't even supposed to be in the last 8 but somehow they made it to the championship game. The same is true for the italians in 94
Another interesting fact: Between 1950 and 2006 every single WC final had either Germany or Brazil in it except for the one in 1978. Thats huge!
So becasue of this I say the spaniards WON'T win the WC. But of course I am a statistician and we are only right 95% of the time! So it remains to be seen
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